Archive for July, 2008

Strategies For Creating A Household Budget

Posted in Finances on July 29th, 2008

Because investing is not a sure thing in most cases, it is much like a game – you don’t know the outcome until the game has been played and a winner has been declared. Anytime you play almost any type of game, you have a strategy. Investing isn’t any different – you need an investment strategy.

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An investment strategy is basically a plan for investing your money in various types of investments that will help you meet your financial goals in a specific amount of time. Each type of investment contains individual investments that you must choose from. A clothing store sells clothes – but those clothes consist of shirts, pants, dresses, skirts, undergarments, etc. The stock market is a type of investment, but it contains different types of stocks, which all contain different companies that you can invest in.

If you haven’t done your research, it can quickly become very confusing – simply because there are so many different types of investments and individual investments to choose from. This is where your strategy, combined with your risk tolerance and investment style all come into play.

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If you are new to investments, work closely with a financial planner before making any investments. They will help you develop an investment strategy that will not only fall within the bounds of your risk tolerance and your investment style, but will also help you achieve your financial goals.

Never invest money without having a goal and a strategy for reaching that goal! This is essential. Nobody hands their money over to anyone without knowing what that money is being used for and when they will get it back! If you don’t have a goal, a plan, or a strategy, that is essentially what you are doing! Always start with a goal and a strategy for reaching that goal!

Who Is Responsible For Higher Prices At The Pumps?

Posted in Stocks and Bonds on July 27th, 2008

Sick and tired of getting hammered every time thanks to crazy high gas prices? Me too! The current price of oil is front page news with headlines screaming about the latest record in oil prices. And worst of all, according to the headlines, this is just the tip of the iceberg. How much is it going to cost you to filler up then?

So who is to blame? Lets examine some of the reasons why you are getting the raw end of the deal and having to shell out more at the pumps.

The oil price shell game is wrecking the lives of millions of families. Is the pressure in Middle East to blame? Is it Big Oil companies who are laughing at your expense while your budget runs on empty? So who do we have to show gratitude for these dramatic price swings? Is it due to a battle between traders going long or short on oil futures contracts at Big Banks? Is it all connected to the Alberta Oil Sands?

The most frequently heard explanation is that there has been a huge increase in the demand for oil thanks to China and India’s explosive growth. Countries that produce oil justcan’t keep up with demand. Even Saudi Arabia announced recently that it was increasing supply to counter demand, and the market yawned.

Is any weight to this argument? Absolutely. Is it the ? No.

The economies of going full tilt during the last few years which has resulted in an increased demand for oil. The truth is, the US accounts for about 5% of the world’s population, and 25% of the world’s consumption of oil. Although, that’s not the real reason for oil’s price painful increase.

The demand for oil of course hasn’t increased by 100% like the price of oil has over the last 9 months. What’s wrong with this picture?

For for over a generation, the US dollar has influenced the price of commodities. A strong US dollar usually resulted in lower oil and gold prices. The incredible weakness in the price of the US dollar has resulted in commodities hitting unprecedented highs. Commodities are priced in US dollars and move to balance changes in value of the currency.

A lower US dollar has resulted in both oil and gold moving up in price, resulting in you getting burnt at the pumps. Since September 2007, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has cut interest rates 7 times, with the largest cuts happening in 2008. During that same timeframe, the price of oil has moved from $69.26 in September 2007 to $110 in April 2008 when the last cut was made. Today, oil is around $130 a barrel.

This provides an explosive mix for drivers. Hard working Americans are paying the price at the pumps for a devalued dollar thanks to Mr Bernanke. Lower interest rates were meant to help the banks in light of the housing crisis. Instead, it helped to lower the value of the US dollar and by effect, increasing the price at the pumps.

I hate to say this, but, traders, especially the large commodity and futures are fueling the commodity bubble. Like with any bubble, emotions take over. “Its different this time”. If history has taught us anything, its that its never different this time. They continue to feed the perception of that demand for oil will force the price of oil over $200, and they don’t want to miss the boat.

So what can you do about it. Let’s get the ball rolling.

Since you know how the stock market works, lets get onto what you as a trader can do. As a trader, you have a couple of ways you can play this:

First things first, take a step back away from all the noise you’ll hear about supply, demand, interest rates, inflation, commodities bubbles and Ben Bernanke. Emotions are the biggest risk to your portfolio.

Second, look at the facts.

Yes, demand for oil is higher than supply, and will continue to be so. There is only so much oil in the world, and even if a new discovery is found, it will take years before you and I see it at the pumps.

What goes up must come down. Will oil hit $50 a barrel in the next few years? Don’t hold your breath.

Inflation is on the rise, thanks in large part to the price of oil. Higher oil prices means higher costs for transportation, travel and manufacturing of various products. This impacts you the consumer.

The answer will be in an interest rate hike which will likely occur in August and again in October.

Bottom line: What does that mean for you? Use these stock trading strategies as your ace in the hole.

1. Get to know how to trade ETF’s so that you can go long and short to take advantage of the trend changes in the price of oil and the price of gold.

2. Watch the trend very carefully. When it changes, be prepared to buy the appropriate ETF

3. Set your stop loses. Only a poor trader ignores the use of a stop loss. These are volitile markets and you could see a large portion of your trading capital wiped out quickly without a stop.

4. Understand that markets do not trade in either direction forever. The trend is your friend. Follow it, and you will prosper.

5. An increase in interest rates may be bad news for the markets which will interpret it as leading to a slowing down of growth - leading to a recession. On the other hand, a drop in the price of oil may also be cheered by the markets. Look for the major indexes to trade sideways for a bit.

Keep your eyes open for the signs to see how this will play out. When the Fed raises interest rates, the price of oil will fall like a house of cards, and you’ll be the one laughing all the way to the bank.

Debt Management For Private Loans And Realizing Your Independence

Posted in Debt Management on July 26th, 2008

Almost all of us have debt. One way or another we owe someone money. Sometimes our debts are small and easy to take care of, and other times they are large and seemingly impossible to work around. Our credit score is our life blood in the financial world.

We use credit cards for everything from a pack of gum to used cars and rarely consider the impact of our credit score when we go charging. It’s a simple fact that the more debt we have the more we struggle to repay it.

Debt Consolidation

If you’re in trouble with your creditors and wish to get out of the trap, then a debt consolidation company will probably be a desirable option. Obtaining a personal loans doesn’t restrict what you do with the money. You get the loan and pay for items as you are able. A debt consolidation loan is intended as a means of addressing your debt instead of creating even more.

Frequently, we become way too comfortable with our spending habits and do not bother - or even think - to alter them, resulting in credit cards being charged to the max time and again. Afterward, you have the credit card payment to contend with along with a personal loan. In essence, you begin to drown in debt.

A Little Training

Debt management courses may be a good way for you to learn how credit works. They provide an educational alternative to seeking a loan or going through the hassle of debt consolidation.

Debt consolidation and debt relief programs involve you working with your creditors to hopefully reduce the interest rates of your credit cards as well as pay off any outstanding loans. You will need to work with a counselor to create a manageable and realistic budget for your lifestyle.

Before entering into any type of plan with a debt reduction firm you should always first do your own independent research.

Check out the company as best you can and make sure you aren’t going to wind up being misled. Look for customer feedback if it’s available, find out how long they have been in business, and look into the company via the Better Business Bureau. Once you’ve settled on a company, begin the process of scheduling a sit down discussion with them to go over your finances.

Come Ready to Open Up

Be prepared to discuss all your debts. Make sure you have a copy of your bills at the initial meeting as well as your budget, if you have one. (If you don’t have a budget, then you should take some time to create one; it will make the discussion a lot more effective for you and your counselor).

The counselor will work with your creditors to reduce your interest rates. Your payment will be reduced to one or two, and the consulting company will disperse the funds.

You should minimize or eliminate the use of your credit cards while going through this process. It will defeat the purpose and ruin much of your hard work. Keep one around for emergencies, but that is it. This is something to discuss with your counselor.

Working in Cooperation

Most creditors will accept terms that the consulting company has worked out with you. Your joint effort proves your willingness to pay as well as ensures that they will be repaid. Many of them have policies that, frankly, lean contrary to your personal interests if you fail to pay them.

So you must not neglect to pay your debt consolidation company, as that could jeopardize the expected benefits of your repayment plan. If there are problems in paying each month, then you must contact them as quickly as possible.

Information About Taxes

Posted in Accounting on July 26th, 2008

The last thing you need to worry about as a small business is your taxes, right? This is the attitude of many small businesses as they feel like they are somehow exempt from many of the rule because of their employment status – but this is not the truth.

In reality, many newcomer businesses are closing down because of problems with their taxes, not paying enough, or failing to pay altogether, resulting in high penalties that the business simply can not afford.

You need to find out exactly what you need to do in order to begin to set up a healthy financial statement for your new business. Instead of finding out the hard way in an audit or in a prison cell, you can find out what your taxes can do FOR you.

Taxes are setup as a way to help the government make money from those that pay. But since not everyone is going to be honest about their income or their deductions, there is a strict and very detailed tax code. No one can keep up with it and even fewer people can understand it if they don’t already have a degree or training in tax law.

As a small business, you don’t have the time to handle this. You can find a lot of free tax information from the internet or you may look for some tax guide as well that will show you how to find professional help that can manage the problems for you.

If you have payroll taxes that you need to pay, or want to know how you can cut down your taxes for the next year, that’s covered too. No matter what you need to find out about, you will Need to Know.

Some businesses are choosing to become nonprofits in order to receive tax exempt status. But the question is, do you qualify and how do you proceed through the setup process?

No matter where you are at with your business ideas, you will have to learn about taxes and what you need to do to make them a little less problematic.

You can’t run away from them, so tackle them head on.

Where To Find Home Mortgage Rate Predictions

Posted in Debt Management on July 25th, 2008

Even the most informed mortgage interest rate forecast can be like weather predictions - it is impossible to be precisely accurate with the mortgage interest rates predictions, and the further in advance you try to predict mortgage interest rates, the greater the margin of error in the prediction. Your best course of action is to wait until the time you want to take out a mortgage, and use a mortgage calculator to determine how much you can afford, based on the interest rate at the time.

Factors Which Make Mortgage Rates Predictions Rise: Inflation

So called “real interest rates” are calculated assuming that inflation is zero. To get from the “real interest rate” to the “nominal interest rate”, which is what your bank will charge you for your mortgage, you add on the annualised percentage rate of inflation, so mortgage rate forecast will increase as inflation increases.

Factors Which Make Mortgage Rates Predictions Rise: Reduced Availability Of Credit

Financial markets operate on supply and demand. Mortgage lenders generally borrow the money they lend for mortgages, or at least 90% of it. Mortgage rates predictions must take into account whether the supply of money is increasing or decreasing.

Factors Which Make Mortgage Rates Predictions Rise: Increased Risk

Apart from the market pricing factors, there is another factor which comes into play in any investment decision - risk. Mortgage rates in general will depend on the overall risk involved in the housing market.

Factors Which Make Mortgage Rates Predictions Fall: Government Intervention

The US Government is an 800-pound gorilla in the financial markets. By issuing Treasury bonds at different interest rates, the government can influence the overall market for money, and thus affect the “real” interest rate. Mortgage rates predictions will consider Federal actions in the markets.

Mortgage rates predictions need to take into account the political imperatives as well as the purely economic influences on interest rates. Voters are particularly sensitive to losing their homes in large numbers, and the government is keen to avoid the scenario in which interest rates go up, and more homes are foreclosed, only to be sold into a plummeting market, further worsening the oversupply problem in residential housing.

Everyone - the government, the banks, and the home owners - are in agreement that this is an outcome to be avoided. Mortgage rates predictions based on purely economic considerations might indicate that mortgage interest rates are due to rise, but while the political pressure is running high, and in an election year, the government will do everything in its power, however economically irresponsible in the long term, to push the interest rate rises off until after the November elections. Mortgage rates predictions must take this political distortion of the financial markets into account.

Mortgage rates predictions are more complicated than weather predictions, because political factors influence mortgage rate forecast. This doesn’t make accurate mortgage rates predictions impossible, of course, but it requires more than just a mathematical model to make accurate mortgage rate forecast - it takes a good poitical “nose” as well! You can find good mortgage rates forecast at the Emergency Refinancing web site.